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Blog: Global Work Watch
 

April 23rd, 2008

Financial Markets—and Workers—Need Stability

Amid all the recent talk about reforming the global financial system to increase its “stability,” there’s been little said about extending the idea of economic security to workers.

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development research group came close earlier this month. The OECD’s Financial Markets Committee—made up of officials from central banks, finance ministries and other financial authorities—issued a statement  in response to the subprime mortgage crisis and related financial turbulence of late. It called for “fundamental reform of financial markets” that “enhances stability, whilst retaining efficiency.” And, in a move rare among financial officials and bankers, the OECD acknowledged the way the global economy is becoming more chancy for individuals.

“The OECD also notes that the world is moving to a situation in which individuals bear more and more risks, without being necessarily able to cope with them,” the organization said April 15. “This concerns not only credit, including sub-prime mortgages, but also insurance or pensions.”

A big portion of the world’s individuals are workers and employees. And they also face the risk of sudden job loss, as seen by the thousands of layoffs in recent months in the United States. Unfortunately, the OECD Financial Markets Committee has a tepid solution to people’s economic precariousness: “This situation calls for a new culture of risk awareness and financial education mechanisms that the OECD promotes.”

More recently this month, the OECD proposed a more concrete measure to help with unemployment—giving local agencies and authorities more power and autonomy to adjust employment and training programs to meet local needs.

But such flexibility, while helpful, still isn’t likely to provide a strong enough fix to the problem at hand. That is, to give workers a meaningful measure of economic security while preserving a degree of freedom for businesses. Decent unemployment benefits, smart training programs, health insurance and sound retirement income—along with job opportunities—are the keys to economic security. But in many countries, one or more of these ingredients is missing.

The irony is that economic security for workers can coincide with strong economic growth. Denmark, with its “flexicurity” system, is a case in point.

As the financial crisis and credit crunch of 2007 and 2008 suggest, we have allowed for too much risk-taking on the part of some of our financial institutions. At the same time that we seek to establish a less dicey financial system, we ought to broaden this push for economic security. Including workers in the trenches can help us get to an economy that is both more stable and more prosperous.


April 14th, 2008

Planting Seeds for Success in China

There’s an ongoing contest between the U.S. and European economic systems. And one of the key battlegrounds is nowhere near New York, Dallas, Brussels or Berlin. It’s China—that is to say, which side of the Atlantic is best able to work with and take advantage of Asia Pacific’s emerging economic powerhouse?

A recent press release from the other side of the Atlantic pond highlighted one way Europe is sowing the seeds for long-term success in China. It called for European managers to apply to the European Union-China “Managers Exchange and Training Programme,” a 10-month program that includes intercultural training, Chinese-language study, seminars, visits to Chinese companies and a three-month internship at a Chinese or European company in China.

METP is a four-year effort of the European Commission and the Chinese government aiming to serve a total of 200 managers from the European Union and 200 managers from China.

The program is tailored for frontline and midlevel managers. Applicants are supposed to have no or only very limited knowledge of Chinese language; be between 26 and 40 years of age; and have a minimum of five years of work experience.

The U.S., too, has been willing to have government play an active role when it comes to commerce with China. But U.S.-led business exchange efforts, such as the U.S.-China Oil and Gas Industry Forum seem geared to helping high-level executives make connections with Chinese counterparts.

I’m not aware of any U.S. government program akin to METP—one that encourages managers lower down in organizations to develop expertise and relationships in China. That expertise and those relationships can translate into concrete business deals as METP participants advance in their careers.

METP is of a piece with Europe’s focus on “sustainability” and long-term thinking. Both the U.S. and the European Union face widening trade deficits with China. And both would like to close those gaps by exporting more to China. Will the investment in budding managers in the METP program pay off for Europe down the line?


April 4th, 2008

Death By a Thousand Job Cuts

The news of major U.S. job losses in March is ominous for a number of workforce management reasons.

The U.S. Labor Department said Friday, April 4, that the American economy lost 80,000 payroll jobs in March. That was worse than expected and the biggest one-month loss in five years. Payroll employment figures also were revised to show greater job losses for January and February, and the unemployment rate rose from 4.8 percent in February to 5.1 percent in March.

The first problem with these numbers is they suggest companies are ignoring the sage advice to try to weather the economic storm by limiting layoffs or avoiding them altogether. Instead of taking a near-term hit to profits and investing in long-term growth, companies seem to be cutting jobs heavily.

Such short-term thinking could come back to haunt U.S. firms. Jettisoning talent and potentially damaging morale for remaining workers can cripple companies and their ability to bounce back in better times. Stanford University business professor Jeffrey Pfeffer says companies tend to give up people too easily in downturns only to pay a steep price for talent during good times. “You should not do what most companies seem to do, which is buy high and sell low,” Pfeffer says. “There’s an unwillingness for companies to behave counter-cyclically.”

McGill University management professor Henry Mintzberg argues that the U.S. penchant for axing workers gives Europe an edge in recovering from a recession. “Europe is better prepared. Much better,” Mintzberg says. “The soul of the enterprise is much more intact in Europe. There’s much more respect for the idea of collective effort there.”

Then there are “tragedy of the commons” concerns about widespread layoffs. Each job cut can help push the overall U.S. economy into recession—or deeper into one—as consumer spending and confidence suffer.

U.S. stagnation in turn threatens to tip other parts of the world into economic trouble. Asian companies and economies depend heavily on the spending of U.S. consumers and businesses.

A vicious circle can come into play, as foreign countries’ woes afflict U.S. exporters and further depress the American economy.

To be sure, some companies can’t help but lay off workers in dire circumstances. And economic turmoil requires government leadership in addition to smart actions by businesses. What’s more, there are some enlightened companies that behave “counter-cyclically.”

But are there enough to keep the U.S. economy from sliding further?


March 25th, 2008

A Modest H-1B Proposal?

An advocacy group for U.S. software programmers proposes an intriguing fix for a possible flood of H-1B visa applications.

The Programmers Guild is calling for guest worker visas to be given to companies pledging to pay the highest salary, with salary serving as a proxy for skill level.

“H-1B workers with the highest skills should be given priority,” the guild said in a statement last week. “In no case should a ‘Ph.D. genetic researcher’ lose out to a ‘$16/hour accountant.’ ”

Currently, the government uses a lottery system to decide which petitions will be approved for H-1Bs in the event of high demand for the visas, which allow skilled foreigners to work in the United States. There is an annual limit of 65,000 for most H-1B workers.

The first 20,000 H-1B workers who have a U.S. master’s degree or higher are exempt from the cap. April 1 is the first day employers may file petitions seeking H-1B workers for fiscal year 2009, which begins October 1.

For the last fiscal year, the H-1B cap was reached on April 2—the first day employers could submit petitions.

The guild’s proposal is part of a broader H-1B visa debate, in which some have called for raising the program’s annual cap.

Under the guild plan, the top salaries promised would get the H-1B visas subject to the cap of 65,000.

“Any business with a critical need for an H-1B candidate could be assured of approval by paying a higher wage,” guild president Kim Berry said in a statement. “Since the median H-1B salary is about $55,000, any H-1B paying more than about $65,000 would be approved.”

Making a high wage a factor for getting a visa potentially raises costs for employers. Small businesses in lower-wage markets in particular might be squeezed by such a change.

But the proposal could help make sure the sharpest workers come in under the H-1B program, which is used heavily by the technology industry. It also could help prevent the underpayment of H-1Bs, which undercuts the salaries of U.S. workers and makes it less likely that American workers will enter fields that now rely on foreigners.

A guild report from 2006 concluded the H-1B prevailing wage is substantially below the median wage of U.S. workers.

H-1B wage problems also surfaced in a 2006 study by the U.S. Government Accountability Office. It found that 3,229 H-1B applications were certified by the U.S. Labor Department, “even though the wage rate on the application was lower than the prevailing wage for that occupation.”

The guild’s alternative to the H-1B lottery includes a second provision that raises tricky questions of national interest and global economics. The guild would give U.S. employers preference over foreign consulting firms. Critics, including the guild, have argued that use of the visas by foreign firms fuels the shift of work abroad.

At least when it comes to the salary piece, the guild’s alternative to the H-1B lottery is on the money, it seems to me. What do you think?


March 17th, 2008

Talent Consultants See Greener Pastures Abroad

News that HR consulting firm Mercer forged a deal with an executive search firm in Vietnam is a sign of the times.

U.S.-based firms that pitch talent-related services see strong growth in Asia even as evidence keeps pointing toward a downturn in the U.S. economy.

Mercer, a unit of professional services firm Marsh & McClennan Cos., said Thursday, March 14, that it signed an agreement with TalentNet of Vietnam to market and provide Mercer’s proprietary research, HR management tools and survey data.

Guo Xin, deputy region head of Mercer for the Asia-Pacific region, said the agreement with TalentNet further underscores Mercer’s ongoing commitment to expanding in Vietnam.

“With Vietnam experiencing such phenomenal growth in the past years, so too has demand for Mercer’s offerings, particularly with data-driven products and services from our Information Product Solutions (IPS) division,” Guo Xin said in a statement.

I met with Guo Xin last year in Beijing  and heard him say similar things about China’s rapid growth and the accompanying demand for HR-related help.

Mercer is not alone in jumping on the Asia bandwagon. Right Management, the consulting firm that’s a subsidiary of staffing giant Manpower, last month announced new positions for two executives in Asia.

And executive search specialist Korn/Ferry International saw its executive recruitment fees  in the Asia-Pacific region jump 36 percent in the three months ended January 31, to $25.3 million.

That was a much faster clip than the 21 percent growth overall in the firm’s executive recruitment fees. What’s more, those Asia-Pacific placements had a higher profit margin—21.5 percent—than Korn/Ferry’s executive recruiting gigs in North America, Europe and South America.

But how long will Asia be golden? A big question right now is whether China, Vietnam and other Asian countries can avoid catching America’s economic cold. There’s some thinking the slowdown at hand will be fairly global in nature .

If that’s the case, all the diversification in the world may not do much to help U.S.-based talent advisors weather a rough patch.



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